According to a report by over 20 billion Wi-Fi chipsets will be shipped between 2016 and 2021. This surge in demand will occur as Wi-Fi solutions branch out into new usage scenarios, frequency bands, device types, and performance requirements. They also expect more than 95% of the devices to shipped in 2021 to support the 5 GHz Wi-Fi band, adding to the debate over spectrum sharing with cellular technologies.
As Wi-Fi technologies begin operating in different bands, operators and OEMs will place greater emphasis on the mixture of efficiency, throughput, range, and power consumption enhancements that these solutions can offer. MU-MIMO, narrowband implementations, and other enabling technologies can help to ensure that Wi-Fi is able to operate in both the densest deployments and more power constrained IoT applications - said Andrew Zignani, Industry Analyst at ABI Research.
802.11ax is one new Wi-Fi standard under development that seeks to build upon the 802.11ac standard while incorporating additional features in order to enhance wireless performance in dense deployment scenarios. They forecast that 802.11ax will account for 57% of Wi-Fi chipsets by 2021. This increased pressure on the 5 GHz spectrum, as both 802.11ac and 802.11ax continue the migration toward 5 GHz Wi-Fi, will also be exacerbated by the arrival of LTE-U. This could potentially add to existing challenges and concerns over successful coexistence between the technologies going forward.
Emerging technologies, some of which break away from the traditional evolutionary path of 2.4 GHz and 5 GHz, include HaLow, 802.11ad, 802.11ax, and 802.11ay.
802.11ad, more commonly known as WiGig, will remain a premium feature for some time. Yet, while its high cost may hinder adoption, companies such as Intel, Peraso, and Qualcomm that are focusing on 802.11ad should help drive the ecosystem forward. Their data suggests that it will likely take until 2017 for real scale to build, though, as there still needs to be a strong push to get the technology in areas beyond the limited number of access points and routers currently supporting it.
HaLow will also see opportunities in the years’ ahead. However, it will take some time for this technology to gain widespread traction, as it still faces strong competition from other low-power wireless technologies and LPWAN technologies. For this reason, they predict HaLow chipsets to only represent 1% of total shipped Wi-Fi chipsets by 2021.
These findings are part of ABI Research’s Wi-Fi Service, which includes research reports, market data, insights, and competitive assessments.
